Deutsche Telekom: gráfico actualizado

[Francisco Monjardino]

Depois da espanhola Telefonica, hoje é a vez da germânica Deutsche Telekom ser alvo de gráfico actualizado.

Interessante de acompanhar no curto-prazo, o desenlace do trading range entre os 13.07 e os 14.00 euros.

- Tendência é de alta no curto e médio-prazo, suportada pela linha ascendente a azul tracejado e pela média de 50 dias (a verde) hoje a cotar nos 13.45 euros.

Opiniões?

[Francisco Monjardino]

Mais uma Telecom europeia que quebrou o trading range do final do ano passado e arrancou de forma consistente (volume a acompanhar) para novos máximos relativos.

Nota: se considerarmos um trading range 13.07 / 14.00 euros, a casa dos 15 euros será um objectivo a ter em consideração para breve.

[Francisco Monjardino]

Mais um gráfico actualizado para a DTE..


Vela de hoje deixa no ar alguma indecisão e abre espaço para uma possível tomada de mais-valias no dia de amanhã...


Explicação do padrão de candles que estou a ver no gráfico de hoje:

Shooting Star / Gravestone Doji Bearish

Pattern: Reversal
Trend: Bearish
Reliability: Low/Moderate

How to Identify it

Small real body at the lower end of the trading range
Prices gap open
Upper shadow usually at least three times as long as the real body
No (or almost no) lower shadow
What it Means

The market gaps open above the previous day's close in an uptrend. It rallies to a new high then loses strength and closes near its low: a bearish change of momentum. Confirmation of the trend reversal would by an opening below the body of the Shooting Star on the next trading day. If the open and the close are identical, the indicator is considered a Gravestone Doji. The Gravestone Doji has a higher reliability associated with it than a Shooting Star.

(fonte: http://www.litwick.com/ )

[Francisco Monjardino]

Actualização para a DTE.

[Francisco Monjardino]

Bom dia,

Nova actualização para a DTE que continua parada desde o último comentário e sem invalidar as implicações negativas do padrão de velas então identificado.

Abraço,

[Francisco Monjardino]

Abraço,

[Francisco Monjardino]

Abraço,

[Francisco Monjardino]

Abraço,

[Francisco Monjardino]

Abraço,

[jph320]

Deutsche Telekom Shares Drop After Profit Outlook Cut (Update1)
By Kenneth Wong
Jan. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Shares of Deutsche Telekom AG dropped as much as 6.5 percent after Europe's largest telephone company cut its profit forecast as competition in Germany increases and the dollar's decline reduces revenue in the U.S.
The stock fell as much as 92 cents to 13.25 euros, the biggest decline since Aug. 10, when the Bonn-based company also cut earnings forecasts. Adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization will be about 19 billion euros ($24.5 billion) in 2007, from a November estimate of as much as 20.2 billion euros, Deutsche Telekom said yesterday.
The cut underscores the struggle of Chief Executive Officer Rene Obermann, who took over two months ago, to halt more than three years of decline in traditional phone sales as competitors such as Vodafone Group Plc's Arcor unit step up discounting. The 10 percent slide of the dollar against the euro last year slashed revenue from the T-Mobile USA unit, Deutsche Telekom's fastest- growing division.
``This is a material profit warning,'' said JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s London-based analyst Hannes Wittig, who rates the stock ``underweight.'' ``Any new CEO wants to start with a clean sheet. He wants people to understand that they need to be tight on spending.''
The shares traded at 13.53 euros as of 10:03 a.m. in Frankfurt, making them the leading decliner in the Dow Jones Europe Stoxx Telecommunications Index, the worst-performing sub- index today. France Telecom SA shares fell 2.3 percent and Royal KPN NV, the biggest Dutch phone company, dropped 3 percent.
`Timely Reminder'
``From a sector perspective, this is a timely reminder that we are not yet out of the woods after positive earnings momentum in recent months,'' UBS AG analyst David Brundish wrote in a note to clients. Investments banks including Bear Stearns Cos. and Lehman Brothers lifted their ratings on the sector this month.
Deutsche Telekom forecast ``moderate'' sales growth this year after 2006 revenue missed its own estimates.
The new forecast for 2007 adjusted Ebitda is 3.6 percent to 5.9 percent lower than the company's November estimate of between 19.7 billion euros and 20.2 billion euros. Earnings on that basis met the company's target of at least 19.2 billion euros in 2006, the company said, citing preliminary numbers.
The earnings forecast reduction of as much as 1.2 billion euros is made up of about 800 million euros for the fixed-line unit and 400 million euros for T-Mobile, Deutsche Telekom said.
Fixed-Line Slide
Deutsche Telekom lost half a million traditional phone lines in Germany for a fourth consecutive quarter and ended 2006 with 33.2 million connections, 2 million fewer lines than a year earlier. More Germans are abandoning fixed lines altogether and make calls only on their mobile phones.

Fonte: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601100&sid=afKEqS3pgdPw&refer=germany

Joao Paulo Henriques