Forex Semanal

[TayOO]

UpComing Economic Events 
DATE TIME COUNTRY EVENT
June 14  12:30 GMT  USA  PPI (MAY) 
June 14  12:30 GMT  USA  Core PPI (MAY) 
June 14  12:30 GMT  USA  Retail Sales (MAY) 
June 14  12:30 GMT  USA  Retail Sales Ex Auto (MAY) 
June 15  12:30 GMT  USA  ! CPI (MAY) 
June 15  12:30 GMT  USA  Core CPI (MAY) 
June 15  12:30 GMT  USA  Empire State Manufacturing (JUN) 
June 15  12:30 GMT  USA  Business Inventories (APR) 
June 15  13:00 GMT  USA  Foreign Purchase US Secs (JUN) 
June 15  13:15 GMT  USA  ! Industrial Production (MAY) 
June 15  13:30 GMT  USA  Capacity Utilization (MAY) 
June 15  17:00 GMT  USA  Homebuilder Survey (JUN) 
June 15  18:00 GMT  USA  ! Fed Beige Book 
June 16  12:00 GMT  USA  Philadelphia Fed (JUN) 
June 16  12:30 GMT  USA  Initial Claims (11-Jun) 
June 16  12:30 GMT  USA  Housing Starts (MAY) 
June 17  12:30 GMT  USA  Current Acct Deficit (Q1) 
June 17  13:50 GMT  USA  Univ. of Michigan Sentiment (JUN) 

[TayOO]

SHORT TERM BREAK POINTS
PAIRS SUPPORT BREAK POINT - RESISTANCE BREAK POINT
EUR/USD 12112                         12188
GBP/USD 18165                         18273
USD/CHF 12507                         12598

P.S.- Desculpem-me mas amanhã não estar presente... Mas terça-feira já estou de volta... Boa sorte e muitos bons trades!!!

[TayOO]

The USD followed through strongly on Friday as the market was apparently less geared for a small deficit number than I expected. This week offers a real data minefield from the US. The general pattern we will look for is one that indicates slowing growth in the US. The first two manufacturing surveys (Empire and Philly Fed) will be key for this argument as will be the Retail Sales number. We'll also look for muted inflation readings, and a lower than expected housing starts number - remember that the unwinding of the asset bubble is a key component and coincident indicator for a slowdown leading to recession in the US. Specifically, the numbers this week from the US are:


TUE: May PPI (expected -0.2% and +0.2% ex Food and Energy), May Retail Sales (expected -0.2% and +0.2% less Autos)

WED: May CPI (expected 0.1% and 0.2% ex Food and Energy), April Business Inventories (expected 0.4%), June Empire Manufacturing (expected at 2.0), April Net Foreign Securities Purchases (a.k.a.TIC Data, expected at $71.5B), May Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (expected at 0.2% and 79.3% respectively), Fed's Beige Book

THU: May Housing Starts and Building Permits (expected at 2050K and 2108K, respectively), June Philadelphia Fed (expected at 10.0)

FRI: Q1 Current Account Balance (expected at -$190.0B), June Preliminary University of Michigan Confidence (expected at 88.5)

The question is how the currency market performs in this environment, as bad US data has been consistently shrugged off lately. If the USD remains strong, a slowdown in global growth would seem to favor USD/JPY higher - so buying the dips there may be the way to go for now. Also supportive of this is the fact that nothing new came from the G7's currency discussions this weekend besides lots of "repegging to a basket" talk. How do you trade a currency that is pegged to a basket?? 


Very short term (today only) one may look to scoop up a little EUR/USD close to overnight lows and look for a 50 to 70 pip bounce as the market may at least pause until tomorrow before committing to a stronger USD. All the EU crisis talk may have reached a crescendo for now and soon we'll look for a big consolidation in the huge EUR sell-off. The question is whether 1.2000 provides a barrier or whether we should look for this development from a lower level.

[TayOO]

Dynamic Pivots


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF

Average True Range High Band
1.2298 1.8349 1.2593
Matsys Resistance
1.2263 1.8313 1.2558
Pivot Point
1.2229 1.8264 1.2495
Matsys Support
1.2194 1.8208 1.2457
Average True Range Low Band
1.2161 1.8188 1.2408


By fxwintrades.com

[TayOO]

Gráficos semanal e diário, mais os resistências e suportes.

[TayOO]

Dynamic Pivots


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF

Average True Range High Band
1.2178 1.8816 1.2734
Matsys Resistance
1.2141 1.8094 1.2717
Pivot Point
1.2106 1.8073 1.2699
Matsys Support
1.2089 1.8052 1.2681
Average True Range Low Band
1.2055 1.8031 1.2664

By fxwintrades.com

[hellkas]

Bom dia a todos

Hoje estou à espera de boas notícias americanas..


EUR/USD

Action: Sell AT: 1.2130
Stop/Reverse: 1.2175 Target: 1.2030

Support: 1.2030, 1.2020, 1.1990
Resistance: 1.2130, 1.2175, 1.2205


GBP/USD

Action: Sell AT: 1.8070
Stop/Reverse: 1.8100 Target: 1.8000

Support: 1.8030, 1.8000, 1.7970
Resistance: 1.8070, 1.8100, 1.8150


USD/CHF

Action: Buy At: 1.2670
Stop/Reverse: 1.2620 Target: 1.2790

Support: 1.2670, 1.2620, 1.2580
Resistance: 1.2740, 1.2790, 1.2830


Só espero não estar enganado 

Bons trades para todos 

[TayOO]

The Euro weakness was the main driving force in the past few weeks US-dollar rally, starting with lackluster GDP growth compared to strong US data, moving on to the constitutional disaster and the final blow of the duration of the stability pact thanks to an outspoken Italian nationalist. Last two days, the attention has shifted to the UK and we note that Cable at the 1.8000 / 1.8050 level is key this week, having traded there yesterday, we continue to watch the price action at those levels carefully. As the Medium-term chart suggests, major trend-lines intersect at this level, consider the support area broken only if we get a weekly close bellow. Hence we may risk going against the trend, buying it here bellow 1.81. Intraday, expect a pullback to 1.8095 minimum, medium-term target is 1.8550.

[TayOO]

Sinal:

EurUsd

Short at 1.2120

1º TP 25 pips

SL 25 pips

[TayOO]

Wednesday, 15 June 2005
all times GMT(previous release in parentheses)

N/A     Austria             OPEC meets
N/A     CH                  Swiss National Bank quarterly monetary policy assessment
0030    Australia          June Westpac consumer confidence
0600    Japan               Bank of Japan monthly report
0800    Italy                 May CPI (1.9% y/y)
0800    Italy                 May HICP (2.3% y/y)
0830    UK                  May unemployment rate (2.7%)
0830    UK                  May unemployment change (8,100)
0830    UK                  April average earnings (4.6% y/y)
0830    UK                  April ILO unemployment rate (4.7%)
0830    UK                  April manufacturing unit wage cost (0.3% y/y)
1000    Eurozone         Q1 labour costs
1230    US                   May CPI (0.5% m/m)
1230    US                   May CPI, ex-food and energy (0.0% m/m)
1230    US                   May consumer price index (3.5% y/y)
1230    US                   May CPI, ex-food and energy (2.2% y/y)
1230    US                   April business inventories (0.4%)
1230    US                   June Empire State manufacturing survey (-11.1)
1300    US                   April TIC net foreign security purchases (US$ 45.7 billion)
1315    US                   May industrial production (-0.2%)
1315    US                   May capacity utilization (79.2%)
1430    UK                  April leading indicator (0.1% m/m)
1430    UK                  April coincident indicator (0.0% m/m)
1700    US                   June NAHB housing market index (70)
1745    Canada             Bank of Canada Governor Dodge speaks
1800    US                   Fed Beige Book
2330    US                   Boston Fed President Minehan speaks
2245    NZ                   Q1 manufacturing activity (-1.1%)
2330    US                   Fed Governor Kohn speaks

[TayOO]

Olá hellkas!

Hoje o dia correu bem!

Conseguiste os teus targets no EurUsd e no UsdChf... Só falhas-te no GbpUsd! e mesmo assim estás a ganhar...

Por esse motivo eu vou-te dar um 'pontinho', para te incentivar a vir cá mais vezes e partilhares connosco os teus sinais...

Bom trades para amanhã (Tão bons como os de hoje!)!!!

[TayOO]

Dynamic Pivots


EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF

Average True Range High Band
1.2178 1.8816 1.2734
Matsys Resistance
1.2141 1.8094 1.2717
Pivot Point
1.2106 1.8073 1.2699
Matsys Support
1.2089 1.8052 1.2681
Average True Range Low Band
1.2055 1.8031 1.2664

By fxwintrades.com

[hellkas]

Bom dia a todos..

Tayoo

Até correu muito bem.. Por vezes o mercado vai ao encontro daquilo que estou à espera.. Mas isso passa-se com todos 

Aqui vai os meus sinais para hoje

EUR/USD
Action: Sell AT: 1.2060
Stop/Reverse: 1.2110 Target: 1.1980

Support: 1.2020, 1.1980, 1.1950
Resistance: 1.2060, 1.2130, 1.2170 



GBP/USD
Action: Sell AT: 1.8110
Stop/Reverse: 1.8150 Target: 1.8010

Support: 1.8060, 1.8030, 1.7990
Resistance: 1.8100, 1.8150, 1.8190



USD/CHF
Action: Buy At: 1.2720
Stop/Reverse: 1.2690 Target: 1.2830

Support: 1.2720, 1.2690, 1.2650
Resistance: 1.2790, 1.2830, 1.2870 


Cuidado com o tony da terra da sua majestade, é que ele às vezes da-nos resultados inesperados.. 

Tayoo, muito obrigado pelo teu reconhecimento.. É muito agradável ganhar dinheiro, mas melhor ainda é, ganhar dinheiro, ajudar a ganhar dinheiro e ser reconhecido por tal..     

Muito obrigado mesmo...

Bons trades para todos... 

[TayOO]

Atenção a estes três eventos:


June 15  12:30 GMT  USA  ! Consumer Price Index (MoM) (YoY) (MAY) 

June 15  13:15 GMT  USA  ! Industrial Production (MAY) 

June 15  18:00 GMT  USA  ! Fed Beige Book 

Bons trades!

Hellkas,

Vou tomar nota dos teus trades!!! Boa sorte para ti...

[TayOO]

Gráficos de uma hora: