Forex Semanal nº3

[TayOO]

UpComing Economic Events 
DATE TIME COUNTRY EVENT

June 20  14:00 GMT  USA  ! Leading Indicator (MAY) 
June 23  12:30 GMT  USA  Initial Jobless Claims (18-Jun) 
June 23  14:00 GMT  USA  Existing Home Sales (MAY) 
June 24  12:30 GMT  USA  ! Durable Goods Orders (MAY) 
June 24  14:00 GMT  USA  New Home Sales (MAY) 
June 28  14:00 GMT  USA  Consumer Confidence (JUN) 
June 29  12:30 GMT  USA  ! Real GDP (Q1) 
June 29  12:30 GMT  USA  GDP Chain Deflator (Q1) 
June 30  12:30 GMT  USA  Initial Claims (25-Jun) 
June 30  12:30 GMT  USA  Personal Income (MAY) 
June 30  12:30 GMT  USA  Personal Consumption (MAY) 
June 30  12:30 GMT  USA  Core PCE Deflator (MAY) 
June 30  14:00 GMT  USA  Chicago PMI (JUN) 
June 30  18:15 GMT  USA  ! FOMC Policy Announcement 
July 1  13:50 GMT  USA  Univ. of Michigan Sentiment (JUN) 
July 1  14:00 GMT  USA  ! ISM Manufacturing Index (JUN) 
July 1  14:00 GMT  USA  Construction Spending (MAY) 
July 1  14:00 GMT  USA  Total Vehicle Sales (JUN) 

[hellkas]

Bom dia a todos..

Tayoo 

Daily Trading Strategy

EUR/USD

Action: Buy AT: 1.2190
Stop/Reverse: 1.2160 Target: 1.2270

Support: 1.2200, 1.2160, 1.2120
Resistance: 1.2240, 1.2270, 1.2300


GBP/USD

Action: Buy AT: 1.8230
Stop/Reverse: 1.8190 Target: 1.8310

Support: 1.8245, 1.8200, 1.8150
Resistance: 1.8285, 1.8330, 1.8380



USD/JPY

Action: Sell Dollar  AT: 109.00
Stop/Reverse: 109.40 Target: 108.50

Support: 108.80, 108.60, 108.20
Resistance: 109.10, 109.50, 109.90



USD/CHF

Action: Sell Dollar At: 1.2660
Stop/Reverse: 1.2690 Target: 1.2570

Support: 1.2620, 1.2570, 1.2510
Resistance: 1.2660, 1.2710, 1.2750



Grande abraço para todos e bons trades...

[hellkas]

Acho que aqui também tem bons sinais e confirma o último post..

EUR/USD (1.2193)
As expected, market moved sharply higher after the break above the 1.2195 level. The upside was limited to 1.2295 where pair has been holding before bouncing back again. Intraday studies are negative for the pair, but the downside should remain limited to 1.2150 (trendline level from the 1.2990 high) before further upside is seen targeting 1.230 & 1.2350. On the downside a break below the double bottom at 1.2050 would see another test of the 1.2015 low. Aggressive traders hold long at 1.2195. We stand aside.

Supports: 1.2090-1.2050-1.2015-1.1970-1.1950-1.1890
Resistances: 1.2190-1.2295-1.2340-1.2390-1.2495
Market direction: Neutral - Bullish
Today's projected high/low: 1.2345/1.2130
Weekly pivot supports: 1.2525-1.1990
Weekly pivot resistances: 1.3208-1.3457
Conservative recommendation: Stand aside
Aggressive recommendation: Hold long 1.2195, SL 1.2075, target 1.2350



USD/JPY (108.86)
Market made another attempt at the 108.50 level and overall pair remains capped in a tight range between 109.70 & 108.55. Intraday studies are mostly neutral at current levels. On the downside, a break below 108.55 low would see further weakness towards 107.70. Daily studies are starting to show early signs of weakness. Aggressive traders short at 109.00, keep stop tight. We stand aside while waiting for a confirmation.

Supports: 108.50-108.30-107.30-106.50-106.30
Resistances: 109.45-109.70-109.85-110.25-111.50-111.80
Market direction: Neutral - Bearish
Today's projected high/low: 109.50/108.60
Weekly pivot supports: 105.15-104.67
Weekly pivot resistances: 109.55-108.90
Conservative recommendation: Stand aside
Aggressive recommendation: Short 109.00, SL 109.50, target 107.75



GBP/USD (1.8239)
Market made a quick attempt higher but the upside was capped at 1.8300 and pair bounced lower from there to 1.8235. Intraday studies are heading lower, but there is no follow through on the downside so far, and we expect the upside to resume shortly. Daily studies are starting to turn positive for the pair, but a break above 1.8290 is needed to confirm the positive bias. The downside should remain limited to 1.8170 & 1.8120 before further upside is seen targeting 1.8290 & 1.8340. Stand aside for now.

Supports: 1.8230-1.8150-1.8040-1.7990-1.7980-1.7920
Resistances: 1.8290-1.8380-1.8410-1.8480-1.8515
Market direction: Neutral - Bearish
Today's projected high/low: 1.8340-1.8220
Weekly pivot supports: 1.8506-1.8314
Weekly pivot resistances: 1.9046-1.9394
Conservative recommendation: Stand aside
Aggressive recommendation: Stand aside



USD/CHF (1.2653)
Market moved lower and reached 1.2560 before bouncing higher back above 1.2600. Intraday studies are heading higher but the lack of follow through on the upside calls for caution. Daily studies are negative for the pair and further downside is expected to follow shortly. The negative bias is favored while below the triple top at 1.2795 and a break below 1.2650 would confirm weakness. On the upside, a break above 1.2800 would open way to further upside towards 1.2865. Look to enter short at 1.2700, SL 1.2800.

Supports: 1.2650-1.2590-1.2555-1.2510-1.2415
Resistances: 1.2705-1.2790-1.2810-1.2870-1.2980
Market direction: Bearish
Today's projected high/low: 1.2775-1.2510
Weekly pivot supports: 1.1749-1.1500
Weekly pivot resistances: 1.2139-1.2280
Conservative recommendation: Short 1.2700, SL 1.2800, target 1.2520 first
Aggressive recommendation: Short 1.2700, SL 1.2800, target 1.2520 first



AUD/USD (0.7761)
The upside was capped at 0.7785 and pair bounced a little lower allowing hourly studies to correct from overbought levels. However, intraday studies are deep in overbought territory and some pullback is expected, but the downside should remain limited to 0.7710 & 0.7690, before further upside resumes. Daily studies are still positive, but entering overbought levels as well. Look to enter long at 0.7710, keep stop tight.

Supports: 0.7710-0.7650-0.7585-0.7530-0.7490-0.7430-0.7365
Resistances: 0.7775-0.7795-0.7845-0.7930-0.7960
Market direction: Bullish
Today's projected high/low: 0.7850-0.7630
Weekly pivot supports: 0.7730-0.7546
Weekly pivot resistances: 0.7872-0.8026
Conservative recommendation: Long 0.7710, SL 0.7670, target 0.7825.
Aggressive recommendation: Long 0.7710, SL 0.7670, target 0.7825.



USD/CAD (1.2295)
Market moved lower and is currently trading just above the previous low at 1.2280. Intraday studies are deep in oversold territory and some corrective upside is expected to follow. Daily studies are negative for the pair. We stand aside.

Supports: 1.2280-1.2260-1.2220-1.2175-1.2155
Resistances: 1.2355-1.2425-1.2590-1.2630-1.2695-1.2735
Market direction: Bearish
Today's projected high/low: 1.2360-1.2220
Weekly pivot supports: 1.2048-1.1911
Weekly pivot resistances: 1.2390-1.2540
Conservative recommendation: Stand aside
Aggressive recommendation:Stand aside

[hellkas]

Mais uma que confirma a minha intenção..


EUR/USD    
Trading range: 1.2170 - 1.2335   
Trend: Upward   
Buy at 1.2183 SL 1.2151 TP 1.2322   
   

USD/JPY     
Trading range: 109.05 - 107.90   
Trend: Downward   
Sell at 108.95 SL 109.21 TP 108.03   
   

GBP/USD    
Trading range: 1.8230 - 1.8410   
Trend: Upward   
Buy at 1.8243 SL 1.8211 TP 1.8398   
   

USD/CHF    
Trading range: 1.2670 - 1.2500   
Trend: Downward   
Sell at 1.2658 SL 1.2786 TP 1.2513   
   


Today's Economic Calendar:   
Time GMT, Country, Indicator, Forecast, Prior   
   
01:30 Australia Q1 Dwelling Sts N/A -0.6%   
08:00 Italy Q1 Unemployment Rate N/A 8.0%   
08:30 UK May M4 M/M N/A +0.7%   
08:30 UK May M4 /Y N/A +10.5%   
08:30 UK May M4 Stg Lend N/A +?9.8B   
08:30 UK May Net Lend Dwellings N/A +?7.3B   
08:30 UK May Mortgage Approvals N/A 95K   
08:30 UK May Net Consumer Credit N/A +?1.3B   
08:30 UK May PSNCR N/A -?1.6B   
08:30 UK May Public Net Browing N/A +?1.3B   
09:00 Italy April Ind Orders M/M N/A -1.7%   
09:00 Italy April Ind Orders Y/Y N/A -3.6%   
09:00 Italy April Ind Sales M/M N/A +1.2%   
09:00 Italy April Ind Sales Y/Y N/A -2.3%   
14:00 US May Leading Indicator N/A N/A   
14:00 US May Leading Indicator N/A -0.2%   
14:00 US May Leading Indicators -0.4% -0.2% 

[TayOO]

 

[TayOO]

Daily Trading Strategy

EUR/USD

Action: Buy AT: 1.2190
Stop/Reverse: 1.2160 Target: 1.2270


Support: 1.2200, 1.2160, 1.2120
Resistance: 1.2240, 1.2270, 1.2300


GBP/USD

Action: Buy AT: 1.8230
Stop/Reverse: 1.8190 Target: 1.8310


Support: 1.8245, 1.8200, 1.8150
Resistance: 1.8285, 1.8330, 1.8380


USD/JPY

Action: Sell Dollar  AT: 109.00
Stop/Reverse: 109.40 Target: 108.50


Support: 108.80, 108.60, 108.20
Resistance: 109.10, 109.50, 109.90


USD/CHF

Action: Sell Dollar At: 1.2660
Stop/Reverse: 1.2690 Target: 1.2570


Support: 1.2620, 1.2570, 1.2510
Resistance: 1.2660, 1.2710, 1.2750

[TayOO]

 

[TayOO]

Dynamic Pivots

EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF

Average True Range High Band
1.2289 1.8327 1.2733
Matsys Resistance
1.2256 1.8278 1.2698
Pivot Point
1.2201 1.8201 1.2642
Matsys Support
1.2166 1.8166 1.2613
Average True Range Low Band
1.2128 1.8137 1.2588


By fxwintrades.com

[TayOO]

 

[TayOO]

O EurUsd não quebrou o suporte 1.2128, será que vai voltar a tentar o mesmo...

[TayOO]

Tuesday, 21 June 2005
all times GMT
(previous release in parentheses)

0615    CH                  May trade balance (CHF 440 million)
0645    France             May consumer spending (1.0% m/m)
0645    France             May consumer spending (2.8% y/y)
0800    Eurozone         European Central Bank's Liebscher speaks
0900    Germany         June ZEW economic sentiment (13.9)
0900    Eurozone         June ZEW economic sentiment (14.
0900    Eurozone         Q1 labour costs (2.4% y/y)
0900    Germany         June ZEW survey, current situation (-69.3)
1230    Canada           April retail sales (0.2% m/m)
1230    Canada           April retail sales, less autos (0.9% m/m)
1600    Eurozone         European Central Bank President Trichet speaks
2300    UK                  Chancellor of the Exchequer Brown speaks
2350    Japan               May merchandise trade balance

[TayOO]

Olá a todos!

Desculpem-me, mas de apartir de hoje a minha presença (e talvez a minha participação) neste forúm vai diminuir, pois neste momento deram um 'projectozinho' interessante, e como a vida de um Trader é muito curta, vou tentar mesmo a minha sorte... Pois quem não arrisca, não petisca! 

Apesar também, de ter reparado que nesta semana este tópico ter começado muito bem, através do nº de leituras, até me suprendeu um pouco, quase que dobrou (Obrigado hellkas pela participação) em relação à semana passada!!!   Pena tenho de ser um tópico pouco parcipativo, mas pronto não se pode ter tudo!

Por isso peço desculpa a todos aqueles que tenhem acompanhado este tópico, pois ele também não vai deixar de existir... Apenas vai entrar numa fase mais 'calma'.

Obrigado a todos!

E muito sucesso nos vossos Forex Trades!

[TayOO]

Parece que o EurUsd não quer mesmo quebrar o suporte, 1.2128, está difícil! Voltou a testar e volta a subir! Não agora logo de manhã vou ver o que aconteceu! Vou apenas por a minha SL e dormir, pois já está na hora...

[TayOO]

Daily Trading Strategy

EUR/USD

Action: Sell AT: 1.2160
Stop/Reverse: 1.2200 Target: 1.2090


Support: 1.2120, 1.2090, 1.2050
Resistance: 1.2160, 1.2200, 1.2240


GBP/USD

Action: Sell AT: 1.8260
Stop/Reverse: 1.8300 Target: 1.8170


Support: 1.8210, 1.8170, 1.8120
Resistance: 1.8250, 1.8285, 1.8330


USD/JPY

Action: Sell Dollar  AT: 109.50
Stop/Reverse: 109.90 Target: 108.90


Support: 109.10, 108.80, 108.60
Resistance: 109.50, 109.90, 110.30


USD/CHF

Action: Buy Dollar At: 1.2685
Stop/Reverse: 1.2650 Target: 1.2765


Support: 1.2700, 1.2660, 1.2620
Resistance: 1.2750, 1.2790, 1.2830

[TayOO]