Deste artigo, destaco as recomendações de livros sobre análise técnica: "Recommendations for Self-Teaching Technical Analysis"...
Excertos:
In many respects the public perceives technical analysts to be similar to Dr. Nash. As with Dr. Nash in “Beautiful Mind”, the public perceives technical analysts as borderline schizophrenics looking for order in random occurrences in stock market charts. Perhaps their own failures in their attempts to read stock charts lend more credence to their belief that technical analysts are practicing useless voodoo, or readings of an 8-ball, or ouija board. They get a lot of reinforcement from some writers in financial magazine publications, and cable TV. Cable often includes brief “bites” of so-called technical experts espousing analyses that are as unsound as their cheerleading analysts’ misguided stock tips.
The facts are that there is something of value in technical analysis. Human nature tends to take on repeatable patterns. Such patterns are represented on stock charts, which can be used to predict future stock moves. However, technical analysis is a discipline that is similar to counting cards at the blackjack table. You will not make money every time. Appropriate use of technical analysis will give you an edge over the market or “house” that will allow you to make money over time (including transaction costs). There are many styles and philosophies of technical analysis. The beginner should know that as with anything else of value, it requires a lot of work including education, practice, and discipline.
If you want to be like Warren Buffett, you will have to wait for this current speculative bubble to burst. Be patient, eventually it will. In this stock market environment, to achieve positive returns while avoiding large losses you must know and apply technical analysis. To do this effectively, you must educate yourself.
A certa altura no texto temos esta frase com a qual discordo totalmente: «Internet Chat boards are loaded with misguided hearsay posing for technical analysis. It’s a waste of time. Stay away.» :-)
Penso que os Fóruns, Chats são talvez o melhor local para a troca de conhecimentos sobre análise técnica e o ambiente perfeito para tirar todas as dúvidas que possam surgir no seu estudo. Aprendi e continuo a aprender muito ao longo destes anos de fóruns. É preciso saber ter uma mente crítica e não aceitar de caras o que lemos, mas isto aplica-se tanto aos foruns como ao artigo cujos excertos transcrevi, como a qualquer um dos livros que o Martin Goldberg refere no seu artigo. :-) O que acham?
Technical Analysis -- Valuable Tool or Misguided Product
Francisco Monjardino
62
17-10-2003 03:34
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