Outro aviso aos (muito) impacientes que por aqui pululam...
Tal como fiz ontem, de novo saliento a parte final da análise de Adam Oliensis:
By virtually all possible measurements sentiment is too bullish for the market's own good and is long overdue for a reversal. However one of the good rules for understanding markets is that they can stay overbought (oversold) longer than "you" can remain liquid if you are fighting against them. Just as the market had to find new and creative ways to scare the majority on the way down, it probably has to find new and creatively extreme ways to lull the majority into complacency on the way up. It has to go further than you think it can or else you are not truly scared or truly complacent.
We are extremely overbought in terms of sentiment, and probably very susceptible to a negative shock. However it's no smarter to jump on the nose of a rocket than it is to catch a falling knife. So, until we get a spark of fear in the market it is probably wise to make the trend your friend. When this big bad rocket can no longer run on fumes, it will let us know.
And can I put it in a song?! :-)
If you can't be with the one you love, love the one you're with!
E como o Nichols é inteligente e flexível e, acima de tudo, tem anos e anos de experiência no mercado e importa-lhe mais ganhar dinheiro do que ter razão, entrou ontem longo para a exaustão final de compras, a que devemos continuar a assistir esta semana ainda. E eu segui-lhe as pisadas, claro! :-)
He's my heroe!!! ;-)
Bem, mas como por aqui é tudo sábio... bah!
Be clever, Bear guys! Why are you feeding the same Bull if you want it dead and gone? Please, don't you be so moron! Stop losing... come on!!! :-)
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