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 Harry Schultz e o OURO - extracto da HSL 644 de NOV04
Autor: Paciente 
Data:   16-12-2004 15:08

Claro que apenas estou aqui a colocar este extracto da newsletter nº 644 ,de 28 de Novembro de 2004, dado que o mesmo está disponível do site do Financial Sense, sendo portanto do domínio público.

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GOLD

I’ve been waiting about 19 or 20 years to see this story appear in the benchmark US newspaper, the NYTimes, a few days ago. It said gold’s rise revealed gold “was now a more favored currency than the US$.” When gold is out of favour, people call gold a commodity. When it’s back in favour, it’s a currency. This change only occurs every 10-20 years. Gold is, of course, always a currency, but govts & many socialist/Keynesian professors/press don’t usually agree/understand. It’s a watershed occasion. We’re in an “era of gold” yet again. It will probably last at least 10-15 more years. It doesn’t mean gold constantly rises, but its “conceptual value” does—ie, people’s recognition that this is the anchor; all else is a wild sea. We’ll have skyrocket streaks, like the one over the past 5 wks, & we’ll have giant collapses as we did in 1975, a 50% fall!

Meantime, gold at a 16-year high is beginning to draw a crowd. It isn’t yet a gold-rush, but it’s building. Some late comers wonder if it’s too late to buy. “It’s never too late to do the right thing”, but if U have too little or no gold positions, U can start progressively—ie, average down if we get a correction here, as seems likely after 10wks of uptrend. If we don’t get a correction now, U can average up, slowly, & more if we get a drop later on. How much of a drop if now? Maybe only to 420-430. Weaker case: 400. Upside target? 460-467 medium term. But such targets aren’t vital or practical, as bullion & gold index & individual gold mine charts tell U when to take profits, & when to buy back, along the way. Yes, we’ll get to 500 before too long (2005), a big psychological barrier. And still higher later, but buy&hold would keep your nerves tight & your profits restricted. Selling is the only important word in every mkt. Sell to take profits & buy on corrections gives U 3-4x the profit potential, & without the “I wish I sold last wk when I had a big gain.”

With gold catching fire & breaking out from a major resistance zone, my Gold Charts R Us is back in fashion. A few subscribers took to the sidelines when gold topped out last April & fell $60, but they’re now coming back as odds are more favourable & the wind is at our back. Some Hslm’s who have never tried GCRU are also having a go. The recently remodeled GCRU features a page for trend-investors, a page of energy stocks & a reshaped format for traders. I hope U’ll come on board. GCRU is the only service in the world that provides best-buy gold charts, weekly, with analysis & specific buy, sell, target & stop numbers, which are now easier to follow than in our earlier growing stages. Most get GCRU by email, but it’s also avail by fax & even mail.

With the plunge of the US$, the rise in gold/oil & inflation, one by one, every hard-money investment class is blossoming. One analyst said: it’s time now for numismatic coins to bloom. So I asked Hslm Ed Lee for his view. He said: “It’s already well underway, but still early days. I recommend commemorative silver half-$ coins circa 1892-1946. Selling for 25% of ex wholesale highs, is like buying gold at $250. Also US$20 gold MS63 & MS64. No tax on profit unless liquidated.” Ed at: [email protected] or US tel 800.835.6000. or 603.429.0869. US fax: 603.429.2095. People with euros, SwFr, etc, who buy US coins in US$ get a de facto 30% discount due to $ fall.

Harry Schultz
http://www.hsletter.com/GCRUpromo.html

Submitted by gold guru of the 70’s Harry Schultz, of the 39-year old International Harry Schultz Letter and the newer Gold Charts R Us. HS has been in the Guinness Book of Records for 22 yrs as world’s highest paid investment consultant. He has authored 23 books, the latest: Bear Market Investing Strategies (John Wiley & Sons).

Paciente

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 Harry Schultz e o OURO - extracto da HSL 644 de NOV04  
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