O Presidente Bush acaba de propôr a duplicação das reservas estratégicas de Crude.

Os shorts no Crude que se cuidem...

Boas,

E eu a pensar que ele iria virar o discurso para o substancial incremento de energias alternativas ,

Este Persona- non grato  nao percebe nada de governaçao de um país no longo prazo.

Agora que o crude estava com ganas de corrigir mais ainda , dá esta linda noticia .   Mais de 4% de ganho

Começo a pensar que os presidentes do Irao e da Venezuela têm razao em afirmar que este senhor é um fantoche com as maos de pano repletas de armas e com ganas de conquistar o mundo.

Caro Semitela,

Discordo no que diz respeito ao Crude corrigir ainda mais.

O Crude encontra-se extremamente sobrevendido. A sessão de ontem foi "anormal" em termos de volatilidade, muito por culpa de ser o último dia do contrato FEV dos futuros em NY.

A verdade é que com a correcção de ontem o Crude fez o ombro direito de um H&S invertido (mais perfeito no Brent) com neckline a $54,70. Target à volta dos $58.


Abraço

Crude Oil Rises on U.S. Plan to Increase Reserve, Cold Weather

By Mark Shenk

Jan. 23 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose almost $2 a barrel after the Energy Secretary said the U.S. will double the size of the nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserve and as colder weather spurred demand for heating fuels.

The U.S. reserve will increase from its current capacity of 727 million barrels of oil to 1.5 billion barrels over the next two decades, Secretary Samuel Bodman said on a conference call with reporters. The eastern two-thirds of the U.S. will experience below-normal temperatures from Jan. 28 to Feb. 5, according to the National Weather Service.

``Doubling the size of the SPR would add significant upward pressure on oil prices,'' said Jason Schenker, an economist at Wachovia Corp. in Charlotte, North Carolina. ``It would remove a significant amount of supply from the market. Refiners will have to spend more to get the available barrels.''

Crude oil for March delivery rose $1.97, or 3.8 percent, to $54.55 a barrel at 2:19 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures touched $49.90 on Jan. 18, the lowest since May 25, 2005. Prices are 20 percent lower than a year ago.

Signs that an El Nino weather system may be weakening led meteorologists at the U.S. Climate Prediction Center to revise their outlook for temperatures in the eastern U.S. during February. The agency on Jan. 18 forecast a greater chance for below-normal temperatures across the eastern third of the country during the rest of January and in February.

El Nino refers to the warming of the Pacific Ocean surface off the western coast of South America. The phenomenon affects the jet stream, alters storm tracks and creates unusual weather patterns. A moderate to strong El Nino typically brings mild winters to the U.S.

Instinctual Response

``I think we're seeing an instinctual response to the colder weather,'' said Rick Mueller, an analyst with Energy Security Analysis Inc. in Tilburg, the Netherlands. ``The move is probably overdone because the winter has been so warm already and it's just too late to make much of a dent in distillate supplies.''

U.S. inventories of distillate fuel, a category that includes heating oil and diesel, in the week ended Jan. 12 were 7.2 percent above the five-year average for the period, the Energy Department said last week. Crude oil, gasoline and natural gas stockpiles were also above the five-year average, according to the department.

Heating oil for February delivery rose 3.54 cents, or 2.4 percent, to $1.5438 a gallon in New York. Natural gas for February delivery climbed 24.1 cents, or 3.3 percent, to $7.56 per million British thermal units in New York. Futures touched $7.635, the highest since Dec. 14.

``Forecasts show that the weather is turning colder, especially along the East Coast, which is really rocking natural gas and heating oil,'' said Aaron Kildow, a broker at Prudential Financial Derivatives LLC in New York. ``Crude oil is following them and is also getting a bounce because it was unable to get below $50 yesterday.''

Nigerian Kidnappings

A U.S. and a British citizen were kidnapped in the Nigerian city of Port Harcourt today and the Philippine government said 24 of its nationals were abducted three days ago. More than 200 people, about half of them expatriates, have been kidnapped in Nigeria's oil-producing region in the past year.

Militant groups and criminals kidnapping for ransom have been behind earlier abductions. Nigeria is the fifth-biggest U.S. oil supplier.

The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta, or MEND, has attacked oil installations in the Niger Delta in a campaign to cripple the country's oil industry. Its raids forced Royal Dutch Shell Plc's unit in Nigeria to halt output of about 500,000 barrels a day, almost a quarter of the country's current production.

``The market has already priced in that Nigeria will remain somewhat chaotic at least through the presidential election in April,'' Mueller said.

Nigeria's presidential election is scheduled for April 21.

OPEC Output

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to cut production by 1.2 million barrels a day starting Nov. 1, citing slower-than-forecast demand growth and rising stockpiles. Member states will cut daily output by a further 500,000 barrels on Feb. 1, the group said Dec. 14.

Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi last week rejected calls from other OPEC members for an emergency meeting to discuss an additional reduction. Saudi Arabia is the biggest and most influential member of OPEC.

Brent crude oil for March settlement rose $1.90, or 3.6 percent, to $54.60 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures exchange.

Mais esclarecimentos:

Os EUA vão expandir as reservas estratégicas de petróleo de 700 milhões de barris para 1,5 Biliões. Essa expansão será feita ao longo dos próximos 20 anos. A stockagem poderá ter início na Primavera. Assumindo as condições regulares do mercado o Departamenteo de Energia necessita de adquirir 100.000 barris/dia.

no discurso do estado da uniao ele tambem anunciou que ia virar-se para as energias alternativas e biodisel, nao queria estar tao dependente do petrolio.